Lock: Cincinnati (-6) over Tampa Bay

So what if they’re all criminals and, in their last game, the Bengals fell decisively to the Patriots? At 3-1, Cinci still shouldn’t have a problem beating the winless Bucs by a touchdown.

Upset: New Orleans (+3 1√É¢√Å’2) over Philadelphia

The Eagles, for all intents and purposes, are probably a better team but, playing in New Orleans, the Saints — who did just barely beat Tampa Bay — can come out on top.

Game 1: Jets (-3) over Miami

The Jets were embarrassed last week, but beating Joey Harrington by three points has to be an easier task than downing the Jags. Let’s just say Gang Green isn’t as bad as they showed last week, but at the same time not as good as they were the week before against Indy.

Game 2: Baltimore (-3) over Carolina

You were waiting for it, weren’t you: Evan’s weekly Baltimore pick? The Ravens suffered their first loss last week, but returning home should be a boost for McNair and Co., as they have to best Steve Smith by only three.