Lock:

Pittsburgh (-3 1/2) over Cleveland

The spread in this game is ridiculous. Pittsburgh has played poorly numerous times this season, but you have to believe they can beat the bloody Browns by four points.

Upset: Jets (+7) over Chicago

How great is it going to be for Jets fans when Gang Green (who was supposed to be terrible) does what Big Blue (who was supposed to be great) couldn’t? The Jets almost accomplished this feat against the Colts, looking better than Baby Manning and company did against Indy, and now they can fully outdo the other New York team with a win on Sunday.

Game 1: Baltimore (-4) over Atlanta

A couple of years back in preseason, Will Demps — then a Raven, now a Giant — nailed Mike Vick (or was he still Michael back then?) and took him out for over half of the season. Ed Reed will emulate that performance.

Game 2: Dallas (+2) over Indianapolis

Because Mark Macyk picked Indianapolis. And also because I picked Dallas to go to the Super Bowl.