LOCK:

New York Giants (+3) over PHILADELPHIA: The G-men are my team, and Eagles fans are criminally insane. Crime never pays, kids, so it’s the Giants all the way here.

Buffalo (+3.5) over NEW ENGLAND: The Bills have looked terrible the last couple of weeks. That trend will change this week against the Pats, who are hit or miss this season.

New Orleans (+1) over ATLANTA: Stat line of Drew Brees for this game: 3,922 yards passing, 15 touchdown passes. OK, not really. But I would expect 330 yards and three TDs from him against a mediocre Falcons pass rush.

Baltimore (-1) over HOUSTON: The Ravens have been putting up some points lately. Houston does sometimes. The Haastile Bottom Line of the Week: Baltimore will score more points than the Texans this week. Oh, and by the way, Joe Flacco has the best arm I’ve seen in a long time on a QB.