Lock: INDIANAPOLIS (-10) over Tampa Bay ‘ A broken-down Cadillac and a patchwork offensive line makes the league’s most surprising 3-1 team an easy win for Peyton and the defending champs.

WASHINGTON (-3 1/2) over Detroit ‘ Let me get this straight. If the season ended today, these would be the two NFC Wild Card teams? Really!? In this battle of two teams playing over their heads, I have to figure the ‘Skins have the offense to outlast Detroit at home, where the Lions are 0-20 lifetime.

GIANTS (-3 1/2) over Jets ‘ After two big division victories and a very winnable next four weeks (Jets at Atlanta, San Francisco at Miami), the Giants have a very good chance of going into their bye week 6-2 and suddenly looking like a legitimate playoff threat in the NFC.

KANSAS CITY (+2) over Jacksonville ‘ Kansas City’s defense has been punishing all season and, despite Jacksonville’s strengths, I feel this is the week Larry Johnson finally plays like Larry Johnson.